1. Agree. A ground war is not likely. While Israel has the capability of deploying troops via an airborne assault, they would have difficulty in deploying heavy armor. Iran has no capability of deploying troops.
2. Disagree. Israel has done a magnificent job fending off Hezbollah, Hamas, and other terrorist organizations over the years. The only time their security faltered is when their intelligence service missed the indicators leading to the October 7th attack. As far as air strikes, Israel would be extremely effective if they launched a massive air campaign against Iran. Iran’s air defenses are nowhere near that of
Israel’s.
3. The Iran proxy war has been going on for many years, even before Soleimani. Other than increased funding, nothing has particularly changed. Also, I wouldn’t call Soleimani a brilliant strategist at all. If he had any brains, he wouldn’t have put himself in a position to get taken out like he did. Dumb move on his part to even venture into Iraq.
Agree regarding the Iraq war. While I was in support of taking out Saddam at the time, I now know that I was wrong. It caused a power vacuum that allowed radical Shia groups to take control.