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Home > Forums > The Open Forum
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Hey, if you want to make a fool of yourself, be my guest. Our Federal Reserve agrees with me.

Author: TyroneIrish (22764 Posts - Joined: Oct 8, 2020)
Posted at 11:07 am on Dec 4, 2025
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...from the linked Fed report...
-------------------
Abstract:

This paper examines the drivers of the 2020–23 inflation surge, with an emphasis on the similarities and differences across countries, as well as the role that monetary policy frameworks might have played in shaping central banks’ responses. The inflation surge in the U.S. and abroad was set in motion by two global events: the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Pandemic-related supply disruptions, a rotation of consumer spending toward goods, and commodity price increases exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine resulted in unusually large relative price increases, which required time to be absorbed. A simple Phillips curve framework suggests that the inflation surge was mainly driven by “cost push” factors, such as supply shortages and relative price shifts. Tight labor markets contributed to the persistence of above-target inflation. Despite differences in mandates of the monetary policy frameworks, central banks around the world responded similarly to recent global events.

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Link: https://www.dallasfed.org/~/media/documents/research/papers/2025/wp2534.pdf

This message has been edited 1 time(s).

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Replies to: "Hey, if you want to make a fool of yourself, be my guest. Our Federal Reserve agrees with me."

  • Social Democrats are the canary in the AI coal mine? - Curly1918 - 8:54am 12/3/25 (29) [View All]
    • Sigh - Nigel Tufnel - 4:51pm 12/3/25
      • No luddite here... I embrace AI. I just worry how society will adjust. - Curly1918 - 7:41am 12/4/25
        • LLMs are not AI. - Iggle - 10:54am 12/4/25
    • "Groceries are Americans' Top Affordability Concern"...thanks to DJT's Tariffs. Even Farmers and [LINK] - TyroneIrish - 10:17am 12/3/25
      • Groceries are a problem because of Biden's Wartime Deficits (120% of G.D.P.). - jakers - 10:50am 12/3/25
        • Grocery inflation last year was 1.2%; this past year it has been 2.7%. That's the tariffs. [NT] - Chris94 - 11:05am 12/3/25
          • Good thing the US is a net food exporter. But what will the poor do w/o Toblerone & Bordeaux's? [NT] - NedoftheHill - 8:55pm 12/3/25
            • Yes because that is exactly what the tariffs are hurting. You are so wise. [NT] - Chris94 - 11:50am 12/4/25
          • 2021 to 2024 averaged 5.5% annually. - jakers - 12:13pm 12/3/25
            • We've been through this a dozen times - Chris94 - 12:27pm 12/3/25
              • Largest economy in the world, whose currency is used in half of global transactions drives the boat. - Iggle - 1:05pm 12/3/25
                • Post-COVID Inflation was Global, and Russia's attack on Ukraine kept it high...but the U.S. under [LINK] - TyroneIrish - 8:20pm 12/3/25
                  • You people created a financial disaster. [NT] - jakers - 8:52pm 12/3/25
                    • By any chance did you read the Politifact summary? [NT] - TyroneIrish - 12:32am 12/4/25
                      • Was it some stupid link you posted? Then no. - jakers - 9:16am 12/4/25
                        • Hey, if you want to make a fool of yourself, be my guest. Our Federal Reserve agrees with me. [LINK] - TyroneIrish - 11:07am 12/4/25
                          • Again, no one is falling for you. - jakers - 1:26pm 12/4/25
                            • I've got the Federal Reserve backing up my comments...who've you got? ;-) - TyroneIrish - 1:38pm 12/4/25
              • 120% deficits. - jakers - 12:46pm 12/3/25
        • It must really suck for every thought to be motivated by politics. (See jakers & Baron) [NT] - Quest4twelve - 10:56am 12/3/25
      • If you don't have a job nothing is affordable... unless the government provides for your needs. - Curly1918 - 10:36am 12/3/25
    • The affordability issue is mostly controlled by where you live. - PaND - 9:57am 12/3/25
      • AI does not give a rat's ass where you live. It will replace everyone everywhere. [NT] - Curly1918 - 10:38am 12/3/25
        • Won’t happen until 2112. - PaND - 10:53am 12/3/25
          • More correct translation: those with swords that keep them sheathed shall inherit the earth. - iairishcheeks - 1:47pm 12/3/25
            • Not according to the prophet Geddy Lee. - PaND - 2:47pm 12/3/25
              • One man has spent a lot of time thinking about this... [NT] [LINK] - iairishcheeks - 4:28pm 12/3/25
    • This is not analogous to the "buggy whip" situation... [NT] - TakethetrainKnute - 9:00am 12/3/25
      • Not a lot of jobs making buggy whips. - Curly1918 - 9:18am 12/3/25
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