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AI Overview
The Iranian economy began to sharply decline around 2011–2012, driven by intensifying Western sanctions targeting its oil exports and banking sector. While economic instability existed post-1979, this period marked a significant contraction, followed by another major decline after 2017 due to "maximum pressure" sanctions.
Key factors for the sharp decline include:
2011–2012 Sanctions: The US and EU ramped up pressure over Iran's nuclear program, causing the rial to slump, inflation to soar, and oil exports to drop by half.
2018 Re-imposition of Sanctions: The US withdrawal from the JCPOA nuclear deal in 2018 initiated a renewed, steady decline, with GDP contracting significantly by 2020.
Persistent Decline (2018–2025): The economy has suffered from chronic budget deficits, high inflation, currency devaluation, and reduced investment.
Economic Mismanagement: Long-term stagnation is attributed to a combination of sanctions, corruption, and structural issues, with the poverty rate increasing.
The economic situation has remained precarious, with further deterioration observed in 2025–2026 due to regional tensions and continued sanctions.