As far as obvious, back in 2016 it was pointed out by me as well as some in the media, Trump lawn placards littered communities with just a sprinkling HRC backers. It was plain to see, this did not portend a HRC outcome on election day no matter what the polls indicated.
As far as Trump asserting his dominance of crowd size in El Paso yesterday, it is clear the moment was far too big for this POTUS (as with most moments of his oval office wrecking) to grasp what the crowd size really meant.
His lack of smarts and compassion rule the day and his lack of capacity creates a stupefying reception in his base. Cole - a perfect example.