So they over sample large states like California and New York whose likely voters skew toward the blue column. Even still, Trump's polling average for registered voters is holding about 45%. That means likely voters pissed off about this impeachment BS will come out in numbers because they vote reliably. Young and minority voters are not "likely" voters particularly when their preferred candidate isn't the nominee. That's why all the polls were wrong in 2016 including the exit polls. The Bernie voters stayed home or voted third party. It's not the popular vote that matters it's the "likely" voters by state. The electoral college is not your friend D's, sorry but true. So if you want to know where the race is, look at the polls of "likely" voters by state. You will begin to see that the Democrats have an uphill battle beating Trump. Even more so if it's Bernie or Liz. Even with your befuddled Joe. Sorry if the truth hurts.