We really don’t have good numbers yet. I suspect that your statement will be true, yet the govt of Italy releases death numbers that suggest a much worse outcome.
The key issue is whether the corona virus was thought to be the actual cause of death. Since it affects the vulnerable the most, those people who contract the virus and die may or may not have done so because of corona virus.
The media is bunching everyone and presenting it as the risk to general public when it is very likely not the case.
In fact, every sick patient nearing death who happens to also test + for corona is being thrown into some of these estimates
The risk to young, healthy people is likely to be pretty low as you pointed out. But for cancer patients on chemotherapy or elderly patients who smoked, etc., that risk is significant.
We need to let the experts give the %’s, but the media is going hog wild to be the first to report. They want credit and viewership for the blockbuster scary news. We also are paying the price for the poor job that our educational system has done for the general population in mathematics and statistics.
Now, so that I am clear, it is still likely that this is going to overwhelm our hospitals, and I think it is wis to do what we are doing at least until the situation and real risks become more clear. But I do agree that there is hysteria which may prevent a recovery down the road.