When is the right time to flip the switch? Obviously, no one wants to lose 47 million job, or 2.2 million lives. But where is the magical tipping point.
My best guess is that those who make it there living to study this kind of stuff have told Trump we can survive (economically) until April 30. That means we likely will not have reached the tipping point by then. It will (and should) be a much harder decision on April 30 whether we can stomach another month. With some luck, that decision will be an easy one.
The problem at hand is complex. We may or may not agree on the point of the life vs. economic balance spectrum we find acceptable. But that disagreement is just the start. The problem is made worse by the fact that we cannot accurately predict how any of the scenarios (opening now, after easter, in two weeks, April 30, or beyond) affect either the "life" measure or the "economic balance" measure. Thus, we could completely value life and economic considerations identically, and still disagree as to when re-opening the country would achieve that balance.