to protect what they would have achieved after Donbas campaign. The ball will be in hands of Ukraine by then. It will be Ukraine's call to either start counteroffense or start serious negotiation for peace.
I think Ukraine will try a big campaign at least once to take back Kherson Oblast before serious peace talk with Russia. By doing this Ukraine can tell U.S. they have done something with $40 billions aid and haven't wasted that money. I think Ukraine will eventually lose counteroffense in Kherson. But it's going to be months long campaign.
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