1. Our OL is more experienced then theirs. That counts big.
2. Wimbush is much closer to Patterson than many believe, despite several errant throws in warm-ups last Saturday. Wimbush is the more dangerous runner.
3. Our returning wide receivers are at least as good as theirs. We'll also have more depth there.
4. Their returning RB is ok but he's no game-breaker. If DW were playing, we'd definitely have the advantage here. I call it no words than 50/50 without him.
4. They have to replace both defensive tackles, we don't. Their DE's are more experienced but not so much so that they'll win the game.
5. They lost their MLB leading tackler. Coney had (I think) as many tackles as he did last year (anyway both were over 100). I'd say LB is a break-even but I think Coney and Tranquil will be better than Bush and whoever.
6. Their DB's return but so do ours. I'd say it's a wash.
7 I can't comment on special teams.
I think we win a close low scoring game. I'd feel otherwise if the game was at their place.