the best unit on the field will be our defense, which is allowing 19.1 ppg (15th for non FCS games). NW's offense is 85th vs. FBS at 25.1 ppg. That's a good matchup for us.
their defense is pretty good, allowing 23.6 ppg (38th). Our offense is pretty good (25th), averaging 34.0 ppg. Still favorable to us, less so than the other side of the ball.
They did a good job limiting J. Taylor, but they still allowed Wisco to run for 165 yards at 5.2 per carry. Both teams had 3 TOs, but Wisco's came earlier in drives and were more costly. The story of the game was that NW was able to build a lead in the third quarter and then shorten the game by limiting Wisco's number of plays in the second half.
We need to take care of the ball and we should win this game pretty easily. If we average 5 ypc and don't lose the turnover battle, something weird would need to happen for us to lose.