- Clemson almost lost to Syracuse this year
- Clemson lost to Syracuse last year
- Clemson lost to Pitt 2 years ago
- Georgia lost to LSU this year
- ND almost beat Georgia last year
- ND beat LSU in a bowl game last year
In your scenario, those are the two most likely semifinal opponents for ND (Clemson or Georgia)... Neither are unbeatable, and I'd actually give ND about a 40-45% chance in either matchup.
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