predicted he would bomb miserably at Minn? You're a highly intelligent guy, but the simple truth is there is no sure thing and none of us know who would or wouldn't work out here...all we have is educated guesses and Fleck's results speak volumes.
I get it, you don't like his gimmicky row row row your boat thing... personally I could do without that part myself, but hell if it works is works, and if it works and he runs a clean program that plays great football then I can deal with the boat thingy.
Maybe if you put aside your personal feeling about the gimmick and looked past that to how hard nosed and disciplined all of his teams play, you would be able to envision that caliber of team play but with ND level talent and realize the potential.
He may not be a sure thing (as no one is) but his results can not be dismissed.