Say he falls down at the 1. You figure the chances of kicking a field goal vs. time left and Duke kicking a field goal. Say he scores (obviously he did). You figure the chances of Duke scoring a TD with their allotted time left.
The percentages favored him falling down at the 1. But where analytics fall short is game flow.
It's a matter of percentages
Replies to: "It's a matter of percentages"
- Notre Dame Coach's Corner: Marcus Freeman Looks Toward Louisville and Reflects on Another Tense Game [NT]
[LINK]
- UHND - 2:37pm 10/2/23
(19) [View All]
- Earth to Marcus: Estime blew up your FG analytics chart. Be glad he did! [NT]
- Irishize - 3:01pm 10/2/23
- Estime did the right thing. Proud of him [NT] - bobdrake - 8:32am 10/3/23
- The failure of Duke's D line to stay in their lanes AND some great ND O line blocking helped as well [NT] - Curly1918 - 5:04pm 10/2/23
- He's not still sticking to that is he? [NT]
- Chrisb - 4:13pm 10/2/23
- It's a matter of percentages - MarkHarman - 5:44pm 10/2/23
- Nope, sorry, wrong answer...that is a broken analytic. - Chrisb - 7:51pm 10/2/23
- Analytics takes all of that into account - MarkHarman - 6:56am 10/3/23
- Forget game flow, forget emotion.. - Chrisb - 7:31am 10/3/23
- Let me explain the math to you (not precise but used as an example) - MarkHarman - 7:00pm 10/3/23
- I can just make up percentages too.. - Chrisb - 8:00pm 10/3/23
- Heck yea. Go up by 5 or 7 and make them score a td in 31 seconds. [NT]
- MuskyTommy - 7:37am 10/3/23
- That a big part of it, but most important factor is sure points.. - Chrisb - 7:52am 10/3/23
- Let me explain the math to you (not precise but used as an example) - MarkHarman - 7:00pm 10/3/23
- Forget game flow, forget emotion.. - Chrisb - 7:31am 10/3/23
- Yeah, it's great in theory - McIrish - 8:13pm 10/2/23
- Yeah its great when you push the B button and kick always goes through.. - Chrisb - 8:23pm 10/2/23
- Analytics takes all of that into account - MarkHarman - 6:56am 10/3/23
- Too bad he didn't tell his OC to play the percentages - Clem - 6:50pm 10/2/23
- No shit right, that would have be good time to go with the analytics. [NT] - Chrisb - 8:02pm 10/2/23
- Nope, sorry, wrong answer...that is a broken analytic. - Chrisb - 7:51pm 10/2/23
- He can't seem to let it go. Maybe he needs analysis. [NT] - Irishize - 4:18pm 10/2/23
- It's a matter of percentages - MarkHarman - 5:44pm 10/2/23
- Earth to Marcus: Estime blew up your FG analytics chart. Be glad he did! [NT]
- Irishize - 3:01pm 10/2/23