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You should! It's a losing battle.

As you said at the very beginning 'common sense'.

What gives you the best chance to win, when trailing with 31 seconds on the clock, is to leave the guaranteed points on the scoreboard not take them off and lay the whole game on the hope nothing goes wrong on the kick, just because some stupid analytics sheet tells you to.

There's a million things that could go wrong on the kick that the analytics don't and can't take into consideration. False start..did we have any of those? Personal foul? Bull rushed OL on their back. The list could go on and on...the flaw with the analytics is it assumes the kick gets made, but this isn't Tecmo Bowl and in the real would you do not take points that regained the lead off the board.

We don't need a head coach if that's the case, we can have you or me stand out there and say 'well this is what the analytics say to do' and lose a shit ton of games.

Analytics sheets aren't meant to be used as the rule, they are a guide to help make decisions when on the fence. This isn't a situation where taking a knee at the one should have even been considered.

NOTE: something to consider

I bet those same analytics would say to kick the FG on 3rd down instead of 4th. So that means we would have given ball back to them with close to 30 seconds, no timeouts but only up by 2.