I think we have a 50% chance of being in at 11-1 and a 10% chance at 10-2

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I think we have a 50% chance of being in at 11-1 and a 10% chance at 10-2

Author: WoodstockIrish (14582 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 8:20 am on Oct 12, 2024

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Sadly I think the chances of getting to 11-1 are 10-15% at best and 10-2 probably 75%.

This inconsistent team could easily lose 2 more games. As ChrisB has said the odds of Freeman/Riley winning 10 straight are slim at best.

Replies to: "I think we have a 50% chance of being in at 11-1 and a 10% chance at 10-2"

Is it possible for us to win out and not get in? - cpirish - 10:26pm 10/9/24 (42) [View All]
- No! If the irish win out they will be in the top 6. [NT] - brian irish - 10:53am 10/10/24
- Is it possible for us to win out? - Zander - 10:39am 10/10/24
  - Thank you [NT] - WoodstockIrish - 8:09am 10/11/24
  - It's improbable. [NT] - iairishcheeks - 11:09am 10/10/24
  - Good question... - TakethetrainKnute - 10:41am 10/10/24
- Very possible - D2 - 10:19am 10/10/24
  - Agreed. We don't have a schedule that holds water & doesn't provide any form of supporting argument [NT] - oldirish - 9:25pm 10/10/24
  - Thank you…an actual voice of reason [NT] - WoodstockIrish - 10:25am 10/10/24
- Not after last weekend. [NT] - BaronVonZemo - 8:38am 10/10/24
- No! Those in front of have too many probable losses. [NT] - Curly1918 - 7:34am 10/10/24
- Yes, our SOS may be an issue. It is still too soon to know. [NT] - bobdrake - 12:53am 10/10/24
- IMO, more likely to get in at 10-2 then left out at 11-1. - iairishcheeks - 12:34am 10/10/24
  - Above my pay grade... See this team as out at 10-2 and in at 11-1... [NT] - TakethetrainKnute - 10:40am 10/10/24
  - Huh? [NT] - WoodstockIrish - 7:47am 10/10/24
    - Just take a look at the pre-bowl rankings over the last few years. [LINK] - iairishcheeks - 10:20am 10/10/24
      - I think you have to discount history to a certain extent - D2 - 10:10am 10/11/24
        Well reasoned argument. - iairishcheeks - 11:12am 10/11/24
        The other risk is ACC/BIg 12 getting two teams each - D2 - 2:32pm 10/11/24
        This is the perfect storm this year - WoodstockIrish - 4:37pm 10/11/24
      - So you think 11-1 is a lock? - WoodstockIrish - 10:28am 10/10/24
        That's two different questions: Do I think we'll finish 11-1, no. Do I think we're definitely in.. - Chrisb - 11:30am 10/10/24
        Look at 2022, pre bowls, there were 2 undefeated teams and 2 one loss teams. - iairishcheeks - 10:03pm 10/10/24
        I'm sure there's some point to this...I just don't know what it is. [NT] - Chrisb - 12:08am 10/11/24
        Here, tell me which 12 teams make the playoffs if it was '22 and their records. [LINK] - iairishcheeks - 12:44am 10/11/24
        I still don't understand what your point is or what '22 has to do with anything.. - Chrisb - 12:21pm 10/11/24
        I don't think any more words from me would help you understand. - iairishcheeks - 6:46pm 10/11/24
        I think we have a 50% chance of being in at 11-1 and a 10% chance at 10-2 - WoodstockIrish - 8:20am 10/12/24
        I think we are very much aligned in how we see the likelihood of us actually finishing 11-1, but.. - Chrisb - 2:33pm 10/12/24
        
        I'm sorry that you aren't expressing your point very well. Also.. - Chrisb - 7:44pm 10/11/24
        "But to those thinking we still have any shot at 10-2 I say "lol!"" [NT] - iairishcheeks - 10:05pm 10/11/24
        I stand by that statement...but I didn't say we are 100% out at 10-2 - Chrisb - 12:06pm 10/12/24
        I think you're confusing cunt and cute, I don't think your schtick is cute at all. [NT] - iairishcheeks - 3:32pm 10/12/24
        
        In at 11-1, thinking about being 10-2 hurts my head too much. [NT] - THEISMANCARR - 6:52pm 10/10/24
        
        Jaysus, a lock to be in the playoffs. Try to keep up. [NT] - iairishcheeks - 10:34am 10/10/24
    - Right! I think I might maybe have an idea what he means.. - Chrisb - 8:11am 10/10/24
      - Yep. It might help if he knew the difference between then and than [NT] - Irish_Demon - 8:45am 10/10/24
        Must be nice to never have made a typo on your phone. [NT] - iairishcheeks - 10:21am 10/10/24
        
        Yep. All the things. [NT] - Chrisb - 9:25am 10/10/24
- Nah. [NT] - THEISMANCARR - 11:48pm 10/9/24
- For certain, anything is possible.....but... - nddad98 - 11:38pm 10/9/24
- No [NT] - Nigel Tufnel - 11:23pm 10/9/24
- Doubtful at this point… [NT] - TakethetrainKnute - 10:50pm 10/9/24