Where are you seeing that? ESPN FPI has 11-1 ND 99% chance to make playoffs

Turkish 1395 posts Joined: Oct 22, 2007

Posted 12:51 pm on Oct 22, 2024

I haven't seen a single modeling site with a 11-1 ND team out of the playoffs. ND is ~60% to make playoff ≠ 11-1 ND 60% to make it. The 40% is because ND still plays 2 ranked opponents and USC.

The sportswriters who have an 11-1 ND out of the playoffs fall into 3 categories.

1. Clickbait hacks who are too stupid to understand math and know any better.
2. Clickbait hacks who know better but need clicks.
3. Moronic mama's basement-livin' bloggers with a platform for some reason.

Link: ESPN's Allstate Playoff Predictor

Replies 30

Where are you seeing that? ESPN FPI has 11-1 ND 99% chance to make playoffsLink Turkish 12:51pm · 10/22/24
- 11-1 Notre Dame will always be in. 10-2 with this schedule and I think we are definitely out.NT tky21 8:55pm · 10/22/24
- ND beat 1 current ranked Power opponent, (A&M). Wins over ranked Army / Navy won't mean squat.NT SteveM 1:01pm · 10/22/24
  - Are you going to admit you're wrong when 11-1 ND makes playoff? Turkish 1:06pm · 10/22/24
    - No, I surely hope we make the playoffs. My questions weren't rhetorical... SteveM 1:46pm · 10/22/24
      - No calculator can account for all the variables a committee will consider. ndphysics 1:50pm · 10/22/24
        
        Your questions aren't rhetorical, they dismiss 25+ years of history and data Turkish 2:46pm · 10/22/24
        
        Which team above us has a weaker schedule let alone teamsNT WoodstockIrish 8:05am · 10/23/24
        
        Penn St, Clemson, Iowa St, BYU Turkish 8:24am · 10/23/24
        
        All have played teams in the top 10, have 2-3 ranked opponents WoodstockIrish 10:10am · 10/23/24
        
        We're ranked behind them now because we lost to NIU and 3 of them are undefeated still Turkish 1:43pm · 10/23/24
        
        It's lovely how wrong you are. The teams I mentioned have beaten nobody.NT Turkish 1:38pm · 10/23/24
        
        Since Clemson was motor boated at home, they haven't played a single ranked team...in fact Chrisb 11:10am · 10/23/24
        Continue 6 replies
        
        Your rational and fact-based arguments are not appreciated around here, pal Nigel Tufnel 5:05pm · 10/22/24
        
        A 1-loss SEC or Big 10 team who then loses 2nd game in the conference championship WoodstockIrish 12:45pm · 10/23/24
        
        So what? It's a 12 team playoffNT Turkish 1:40pm · 10/23/24
- That link shows 56%NT ndphysics 12:54pm · 10/22/24
  - 56% to make playoffs TODAY. Not 56% to make playoffs as 1-loss in a month Turkish 1:04pm · 10/22/24
    - Ok. I missed that part. Will see. It seems hard to believe it’s that high given ndphysics 1:48pm · 10/22/24
      - Twists are inevitable, and will almost exclusively benefit ND Turkish 2:47pm · 10/22/24

View Full Conversation