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I know this is premature but talking about possible outcomes is a great part of being a sports fan.
So, to my point, if we win out and get in I think a path to the semis is laid out pretty clear.

1 & 2 seed will be SEC or Big 10 Champs, likely Oregon and UGA. Want to avoid them as long as possible. The 8-9 & 7-10 winners will get these guys.
3 seed will likely be Clemson/Miami or another less imposing team. 4 will be BYU, KState or Ia State - that is where 5-12 & 6-11 are the catbird seats. Those seeds could flip with an undefeated Big 12 champ.

Not sure we can get to 5, that will likely be a 1 loss Big 10 runner up or maybe UGA if they lose SEC championship. That 5 seed will get to play at home vs the at-large team that doesn't belong then gets a good but not great ACC or Big 12 Champ. Would be great if the Irish run the table in dominant fashion and end up here.

That leaves the 6-11 slot as the most realistic option if we win out. Hosting the 11 seed then playing in a bowl vs an ACC or Big 12 champ. Right now the 11 looks like maybe Tennessee, A&M or Penn State (maybe a 2-loss Bama or Ohio State?).
Very exciting and of course this all goes to hell and we end up in the Pop Tarts Bowl if the team that played NIU shows up again.