I think winning out puts us on the bubble.
I think we likely get in at 10-2, just because there are always gonna be 2 loss teams in a 12+ team Playoff and there aren't any 2 loss teams above us, but I wouldn't consider it a sure thing.
There are currently 8 1-loss teams above us, so how many of them drop below us with a 2nd loss vs how many don't take a second loss
Then there are 12 unbeaten teams, maybe 3-4 of them fall below us with first loss, but the rest we need to lose 2-3 games.
So yeah, we got our work cut out AND need some help.