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I'm including those ranked below us, since a zero or one loss team could vault us eventually.

#12 Georgia plays Kentucky. Kentucky can actually pose a threat, seeing how they came close to knocking off Ole Miss a few weeks ago.

#14 Iowa State plays Cincinnati. Cincy played tough against the Nebraska Cornhuskers in their only loss, and Scott Saterfield has them improving steadily.

#20 Michigan plays Wisconsin. Poor chance of an upset here, since Wisconsin isn't playing well at all.

#22 Illinois plays Purdue. No chance.

#7 Penn State plays UCLA. Highly doubtful that there's an upset, unless Nico Iamaleava takes a big leap. Seeing Rico Flores finally getting some good action last week was encouraging.

#9 Texas vs Florida. Vegas must know something. Texas is only favored by -6.5, despite Florida being 1-3 and with a putrid offense.

#16 Vanderbilt plays #10 Alabama. One must fall. I'm pulling for Clark Lea on this one. A close loss by either doesn't drop them far enough.

#24 Virginia plays Louisville. Could go either way.

Kent State vs #5 Oklahoma. Nope.

#11 Texas Tech vs Houston. Small chance by Houston, but the way Texas Tech crushed Utah makes me much more pessimistic about an upset happening.

Minnesota vs #1 tOSU. Extremely unlikely, though tOSU is "only" favored by -20.5.

#3 Miami vs #18 Florida State. Holding my nose and hoping that Miami takes this one. It's at Doak Campbell Stadium, and Mike Norvell has a good team this year.

Mississippi State vs #6 Texas A&M. MSU has a chance at an upset here. They're actually playing very good football, and their only loss was a close one to Tennessee. A loss by TAMU wouldn't drop them far enough, though.


Best chances for moving up:

Florida State should lose.
Iowa State has fair chance of losing.
Vanderbilt will probably lose, but they would have to be blown out to drop below us.

Lesser possibilities for moving up:

Arch Manning may choke against Florida. His only good performances were against two lightweights (Sam Houston State, San Jose State). He wasn't good at all against tOSU, and flat-out stunk up the field against a really bad UTEP team.


I suspect we'll move up two spots if we take care of business on our end. Moving up in a slow and steady manner is fine, even if it's just 1-3 a week.