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I do think we are in if we win out but that fewer reasons the committee has to leave us out the better and we have no friends in the room.

The way things sit, despite Herbie, the human windsock, protestations, we are on the bubble with plenty of plausible reasons for the committee to exclude us. The first of these are the lack of "quality" wins especially with the likely emphasis the committee will put on quality wins as a standard reaction to last year. We want Miami, USC, A&M and Navy in to beef up our chances

It is pretty much a done deal that, at a minimum, that SEC is going to get 4 teams, the Big 10 will get 3, Big 12 1, ACC 1 and Group of 5 1. It is entirely plausible that SEC gets 5. It doesn't take much to see the Big 12 getting 2, or perhaps the Big 10 getting 4. Anything that can upset the current projections doesn't play well for ND given our relative lack of quality wins. With only 2 slots open, the better our opponents look the better our chances. It is hard to envision us being left out if at least 2 of the following teams are in: Miami, USC, A&M and Navy in.