Donald went to an Ivy League school; he has a very good brain.
Link: https://www.chicagotribune.com/coronavirus/ct-nw-nyt-coronavirus-death-toll-models-20200504-zo3axefkljhddckvlojqj2yuba-story.html
A rough plateau for a couple of weeks, then a rapid acceleration in deaths. Throughout the summer.
That would mean adios to schools next year...and college football.
If you’ll excuse me, I’m going to go for a long, knee-killing run.
Would be interesting to see the assumptions behind it.
And I would like to think it’s wrong...but I don’t really get why deaths remain so high now. So who knows.
the stay at home orders and social distancing have been ineffective. OR I guess the virus was much more prevalent earlier than we thought.
In any event, the reported data has been shoddy and not nearly detailed enough. There are about a dozen other slices of the data I would like to see that would help inform decisions.
Just one for example: In Ohio they report deaths by age group. 90% of deaths are people over 60. Of the 10% under 60 though, what % were people with serious underlying conditions? And of those what was the breakdown by condition?
Without more detailed data, I don't see how appropriate decisions can be made. I assume the Governor's office actually does have that data and is using it in their decisions. Then again, it's the government so....
Transit workers, grocery stores, delivery people, etc.
Or those who live with them.
That’s why we need more date on who is truly at high risk for serious complications.
Then we'll know for sure.
that 99.9% of deaths are the elderly or very specific preexisting conditions, then the vast majority of the lock downs can be lifted. Isolate the vulnerable and develop herd immunity in the population. That would then make everything safer for the at risk people.
Kids it appears are suffering from collateral problems after contracting the disease - strong and healthy young men and women are dying from the virus
and or also dying from collateral issues of COVID19. Those who seem unaffected by the disease are coming down with other symptoms seemingly not related
to the disease.
People in NYC area and in America in general appear to be more susceptible to the disease than those in Greece.
And when did we gain this information? Only recently and yet the data isn't even close to being complete - so where do you really begin to isolate the more vulnerable?
The weak elderly is one of the obvious and the immunocompromised but then where? And how do you tell the likes of the Bronx, you all need to stay home because
of Latino background or lets say BedSty in Brooklyn - you all need to be isolated because you have a darker skin color. Or how about Gary IN? Detroit? Sacramento?
Eugene? School children everywhere?
Where and how do you do this sift and cull?
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