This is true nationwide, but also particularly in states like Florida and Arizona. There was a several week lag between the large rise in cases we saw in early June and the rise in deaths that seems to clearly be happening now. Look at the graphs on the link with 7 day moving averages.
We have probably gotten better at treating this, but it seems certain that we are still going to see many more deaths in the coming weeks. I don't think that can be denied now.
Link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
Imagine a united nation with a President preaching daily:
"We are all in this together America! ... This is our moment to pull together like WW II .... Fasten your chin straps .... always wear a mask when near other people .... wash your hands .... Spread out .... Set the example for your neighbors and kids ... Do NOT let your guard down ... Do NOT give the virus a landing pad .... show the world how disciplined we can be ..."
Imagine.
Something that would have rallied the country around him. Instead he used it to divide us further, with deadly results.
If Trump took an "authoritarian" approach, the Dem governors wouldn't have listened. We'd have people here comparing him to Hitler, banana republic, etc which happens anyways.
It's a function of both Trump's incompetence and his obstinance along with the deeply divided state we live in. 2001 was a completely different world politically, it's a huge problem, IMO.
He just needed to take it seriously, empower experts, and provide clear and consistent guidance.
Would some people oppose everything he did, just because? Sure. But they would be in the minority, the virus would be more under control, and he would have cruised to re-election.
The Left would have accused him of being authoritarian, and that is all we would have heard about. (He's not even doing anything to justify it, but Hillary is already saying he won't leave office if he loses the election.)
This was the perfect political storm, because you could accuse him of being authoritarian on Tuesday, and of not acting soon enough on Wednesday. There was not perfect time for him to act.
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I don't buy that Covid could have been Trump's 9/11. Nothing could be. The guy is completely incapable of leadership in any kind of crisis. He's a selfish prick. We are about to elect a senile 78 year-old because of his many failings.
Any non-narcissist could have had the empathy to make it that way. Trump doesn't have that ability.
His messaging is horrible...he is his own worst enemy. He would lose a referendum on himself.
What has been interesting to me, is to watch my wife, who is much more susceptible to his poor messaging. She is so unhappy with Trump, and complains about him all the time. And yet, she sees the alternative as defund-the-police, so she is still going to vote for the guy she hates, because he's not as bad as the senile guy.
Pull out and right your legacy.
Disgraceful that you still justify your support for Trump.
Are you daft?
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base supporters, not of the nation. They are the ones who think this is a hoax, over completely blown, and wanted to liberate states. We have a few of that ilk here. He will never risk losing that base support to try to rally the nation. His formula is a turbo energized base, plus enough other disaffected R’s and I’s that don’t like libs, along with depressing the turnout on the other side. He will never get over 50% of the vote in this nation.
"If you're in a room with him for two minutes and you're paying attention, you know that he's not doing well," she alleged.
"Psychologically, he's absolutely unfit. Emotionally, psychologically, he is absolutely unfit."
I think there were 2 false hopes: 1) that the virus is somehow getting less lethal, and 2) that we are getting much better at treating it. These may both be true to some degree, but not enough to prevent the huge numbers of deaths that are likely right around the corner given the hospitalizations.
Our state finally implemented a statewide mask ordinance today. People may start to take the virus seriously again, but it might be too late.
You would expect a proportional uptick in deaths if not worse especially with outbreaks in Florida and Arizona, states with large elderly populations.
Viruses tend to mutate in a way that maximizes their transmission, which typically corresponds with reduced death rates. This has been hypothesized, but not proven, with covid. Since it can already spread so effectively, it might not need to mutate much to maximize it's R factor.
We also know that some medications are statistically helping prevent some deaths, but are not preventing all of them.
The death rate could easily drop from 2% to 1%, but with twice the infections, the outcome will be the same.
If you consider a 2 week delay and start mid June, cases jump at a rate that doubles every week yet deaths are only going up at a 25% rate. For now.
The initial 2 week average took into account all the nursing home deaths that were pretty quick.
If so, it'll be a bad week ahead.