Given this hypothetical: ND is 12- 0 next year. There is one Power 5 school undefeated at 13-0, and one Group of 5 undefeated at 13-0. There are 3 other Power 5 schools with one loss.
A. ND is in the 4 team play-off
B. ND is not in the top 4 and out of the play-offs
we have to Dominate most of the Sub-Par teams. I believe every team is entitled to one off/struggle game, but with BK it's usually multiple. So I think if we go 12-0 next year but struggle with New Mexico, Bowling Green, Louisville, and Duke that they don't let us in, and if BK is still here I really don't Blame them. "Fool us twice shame on you"
It really depends on the quality of play. If like this year and 2012, they should be left out.
I didn't realize that previous bowl history is now part of the criteria for making the playoffs.
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but they do not have Brian Kelly as a coach. His comfort and skill level clearly is at the Music City/ Pinstripe Bowls. The chance for a playoff repeat invite depends on the probability of ND being undefeated next year, which with any team is rather low. In terms of 2019 losses, I would expect, at a minimum, a Cotton Bowl type of blowout vs Georgia next year.
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Since ND is playing Georgia next year in Athens, I would like to think that if they win that one, they should take care of the rest of the teams on the schedule since GA is by far the best team we play.
So if ND is undefeated with a win in Athens, I would imagine they would still make the top 4. Especially if GA goes 12-1 and wins the SEC. It's a no brainer at that point. I would say the same thing for the years Clemson is on the schedule.
However, if UGA were not on the schedule next year and we were playing let's say Sparty or PSU. I say they would be left out. ND is gong to get punished moving forward because of 12 and 18. The losses were just too embarrassing.
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...in that unlikely scenario.
Even if ND goes undefeated but UGA stomps Bama in the SEC title game they get in over ND. This is exhausting.
So ND beats Georgia by a point early and goes undefeated and Georgia slaughters an undefeated Alabama at the end and finishes 12-1? (The records matter.)
Yes both go to the playoff, Georgia at #1 and ND at #2 because of past history, but who really cares about that scenario?
It's at the margin where ND will get passed over that it matters most, and actually I think we agree...when you speak properly.
Based on their performance in the playoffs ND gets passed over by the committee.
I understand 'right good" when people WRITE clearly.
You could have actually been a hell of a lot clearer...but we essentially agree on the effect.
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two other SEC games as they did last year. Now they're no longer "elite" next year (essentially because they lost to ND).
Couple that with say other SEC teams rising (LSU, Florida or TAMU for example). Talk will be that ND beat the 3 loss SEC team. but not one of the "Elite" SEC teams of 2019. "If only ND had played one-loss Florida or TAMU, then we'd have a valuable data point, but 3 loss Georgia just doesn't quite qualify."
Just sayin'...
They'll be a top 3 team. We'll be at least 10 point dogs. In all likelihood we aren't winning that game. But, if we did, we'd be in. Georgia isn't losing three times in a regular season. Also, they miss LSU and Alabama next season. Get A&M at home.
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This idea the committee will looks at prior years results in these games is silly.
...to a different type of scrutiny.
Bias from prior years, certainly with no overlap of talent, should NEVER enter into it.
It would be very naïve to think that it does not, however.
They still made it into the playoffs this year.
Again, the media is not the committee.
12-0 ND is in every time.
brand for the playoffs. We are making our perception another step closer to that of UCF when a weak schedule is played rather than the converse.
12-0 is unique. Is the shot at 11-1 less than it was before this game? If you don't say yes, you're deluding yourself.
Do you all keep harping in it over and over again?
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Yes, the committee is not the media. To pretend the media has zero impact on the committee is naïve at best.
A huge win on the road @ GA, and blowout teams with a show of strength we will likely get in.
If we go undefeated next year, that means we beat UGA on the road. We'd be a lock for the playoffs. End of discussion.
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