With a win in the bowl we would have a decent shot at #5/6 in the final polls. Given the disaster in Michigan, that would be a very good result.
Disclaimers:
1. Winning out is far from guaranteed
2. The above statements are not an endorsement of Kelly
3. Despite 11-2 and a bowl win, the Michigan loss will still leave a bad taste in my mouth
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Both Kelly’s “play it safe” roster choices and injuries (losing Okwara was a killer to go with Hayes and 2 OL.
Probably won’t notice until the bowl game unless Navy submarines us.
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Kelly has already banged his head against his ceiling several times.
Until he leaves, there's nothing to get excited about.
Kelly is gone?
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For ex, even if UM loses to Ohio, it will be difficult to rank them behind us after that ass-whipping.
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based on some obvious losses by the 15 teams currently in front of us? Can you provide some more context or did I miss that somewhere else? Other than Navy we play two weak teams which will provide little motivation for the CFP committee to move us up.....
What are you planning to have to happen for us to wind up 7/8 and then 5/6?
Would love to hear this
Those are just the most likely to lose. Add in Minnesota too. Nobody with 3 losses would be ahead of us and Minn/Baylor will drop like stones with a loss.
I will stop posting here till next August.....
You are delusional
Our schedule sucks, beating Stanford and BC will mean nothing......a Navy win (they are ranked 24th).....will maybe move us up one slot
Are you as bad as DonMiller? I didnt think so......
We have ZERO signature wins and an embarrassing loss to Michigan....
You really think we deserve to be Top Ten?
I don't necessarily think we "deserve" to be in the top 10, however IF we win these next 3 to get to 10-2 I do think (due to the natural shifting that will occur from teams above us losing during the same week) there is a reasonable chance we will be at #10 or sniffing at it at #11 when regular season ends. Then IF we win our bowl and it's against a good team, I could see us finishing in the 6-9 range depending on the performance of other teams.
Now having said that, this would depend on TWO very bigs IFs that I don't have confidence in either occuring, since 6 of 9 seasons he's lost 2+ games after October and the best team he's ever beat in a bowl was an LSU that finished 9-4 and 3rd place on their side of the SEC.
We’ll see though. Only a few short weeks left. I hope they don’t shit the bed and make it a moot point. That’s entirely possible (see, I’m not 100% delusional).
That'd be Miami with 4 losses.
On the other hand, after ND beats Navy, they'll have 5 wins over teams with currently 4 or fewer losses. Most in the nation?
If Auburn loses 2 more times, there's really no reason for ND not to move past Florida other than ND's opponents also falling off down the stretch.
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It's college football.
I would be surprised if Minny won this weekend.
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:-)
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Obviously this is just my opinion.
Because I don't think those two are viewed the same. Baylor has been sneaking by weak teams lately and hasn't beaten anyone significant.
Minn has been crushing weak opposition and had an impressive (non fluke) win over a top 5.
Any team will drop if they lose, but dropping like a stone, that would take more than a lone loss for either of them, though I would agree Baylor's margin for error is less.
But just imagine if Baylor's only loss is a close competitive loss to OU and Minn loses 2 but one is a last second nail biter at Iowa and the other is a competitive game but loss to tosu in B1G championship...then what?
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"But just imagine if Baylor's only loss is a close competitive loss to OU and Minn loses 2 but one is a last second nail biter at Iowa and the other is a competitive game but loss to tosu in B1G championship...then what?"
Now let's see what happens in the polls...Minn, Baylor and Auburn all lost, but Minn prolly only falls to 10 or 11, Baylor falls to 15 or 16, and Auburn prolly falls to like 18.
That means after blowing out the last ranked team we face (other than possibly in a bowl) we likely only move up to 15 or 14 at best.
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Would need a lot of external things to line up though. What's worse...if all of those things do line up it means we would have been in the playoff...but for showing up at Michigan, of all places, totally unprepared to play football..
I've already said what my expectations are, so no need to reiterate.
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