USA leaves Bagram Air Base. What's the over/under date for Taliban takeover?
I'll say 12/31/2021.
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Level 1
In fairness, if the Afghan gvmt can't fight them off by this point, they never will
A huge % of our time and money went into training that army. It has 350K soldiers.
If they are too corrupt at this point to fight off the Taliban - who, it is helpful to remember, have killed no one outside of the AfPak region - then fuck them.
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Level 2
I am conflicted, to be honest.
On the one hand, yes it's been 20 years and zillions of dollars. At some point you need to say, "enough".
On the other hand, I have little confidence that the Afghan army will win the fight and I have a notion that at some point we are going to wish we still controlled that airbase.
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End of conversation