-12 to -16 should do the trick.

My understanding is that the fairways are spacious but the rough is thick. Tough greens.

I see a cut at +2, and winner around close to your prediction of -12. I don't see a birdie fest.

The PGA Championship often produces a first time major winner. I could see a Cameron Young or a Tommy Fleetwood. Scheffler is the logical favorite with his consistent approach shots.


Link: a tour of the course

not much chance, i know, but imho, he deserves it.

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anyway, jordan has shown some spark this year. if he can just put 4 rounds together, he can do it. unlikely, but it is, after all, golf.