They have dead wrong too many time recently: Trump, Brexit, Australia.
They correctly predicted the Clinton popular vote within the margin of error.
The electoral victory was also well within the margin of error.
It was only the idiot “journalists” who misinterpreted the data and refused to listen the statisticians who got it wrong.
I thought they were basically pretty close as to the popular vote. I don't think it would be easy for them to be accurate on the electoral vote. You'd need several timely state-wide polls (by reliable pollsters) to get a real electoral vote guesstimate. 538 got the popular vote very close, but only gave Trump a 30% of winning the electoral vote. Even still, 30% is more likely to happen than hitting red twice in a row on a roulette table.
The pollsters also seemed pretty close on the 2018 mid-terms. Except Rasmussen, of course.
three states. He pulled an inside straight. If they go the other way the popular vote winner is prez.
The popular vote was very close to what was predicted. So yes and no to the polling being off in 2016. It was on in 08, 10, 12, 14, and 18. Not bad overall.
You never report that do you? It goes both ways.
is unlikely to occur again.
So you been saying 80,000 votes so you just doubled it nice. You seem to thing all Hillary wins were blowouts they were not. 77,000 votes won her 24 electoral votes in five states. Will they stay with the next Dem? You are convinced Trump will lose the 80,000 votes he needed. You were wrong before. We will see.
The pollsters were NOT that far off overall. Some of the state polls yes but the national polls were pretty close.
None of this is an issue if those states break her way not his.
I don’t think he will duplicate, but it’s a long way off.
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