Since 1912, when an incumbent President seeks re-election when there is no recession, he has won 11 out of 11 times.
Conversely, incumbent Presidents have only been re-elected twice in the 7 times an incumbent President was running during a recession.
With yet more great news today on the jobs numbers, a recession is looking very unlikely in 2020.
people trying someone new with trends like this.
This is testimony to how pathetic the Romney campaign was run. However, since the 3% threshold looks dubious this year, Trump can probably only win if the Dems nominate a commie.
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If they ran someone more to the middle who does not have any baggage, they would probably win.