"The Princess Cruises ship was the location of one of the first major outbreaks of the SARS-CoV2 coronavirus outside of China after and was quarantined at Yokohama port in Japan for over a month. Over 700 passengers and crew from the 3,700 on board were ultimately infected after a single passenger from a previous cruise tested positive after disembarking she ship in early February. Of the 712 people infected on board, eight so far are known to have died, according to the Johns Hopkins coronavirus tracker and experts have been widely critical of the quarantine and containment approaches used by the Japanese government."
8/712= 1.12%
Link: https://www.forbes.com/sites/victoriaforster/2020/03/22/what-have-scientists-learned-from-using-cruise-ship-data-to-learn-about-covid-19/#283b7f75406d
On the surface, it sounds good that only 19% of people in a very enclosed environment were infected.
But at the same time, consider this: Once 10 people had tested positive for the virus, they quarantined the entire ship, healthy and all. No one could leave their cabins except for a few minutes a day to walk around and get some fresh air before having to return to quarantine. Meals were brought to each room, instead of use of the dining areas.
In spite of those measures, from that initial 10 tests, another nearly 700 people were infected along the way.
for conclusion of 1.2 mortality rate. But infection rate is basically irrelevant to mortality rate.
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If they were infected before the quarantine, then it is potentially good news for the infectious rate of the virus.
For that reason, government officials need to preach 7x/day:
"Assume you are infected. Do not infect anyone.
Assume everyone else is infected. Do not get infected.
Do this for 14 days. It is your duty. We will then be in a much better position to start returning to normal."
Acceptable losses. We must weigh 1.2% against your preferred lifestyle and stock portfolio. I think the answer will then be clear, so don't you worry.
Just for clarification, that's "eight so far," correct?
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This certainly isn't the time to do it.
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I have never claimed I know "everything." You're making a strawman because some part of you recognizes how silly you sound.
It's clear that to tell everyone to go back to normality at this point would be very foolish.
mbers are higher than the normal flu, because of all the media coverage. How many millions of people get the flu every year and don't visit the doctor. Now everyone with a cough, sneeze or sniffle assumes they are going to die. Insanity.
Let's use your 1% death rate.
Open up the economy. Infect 100,000,00 Americans.
1 million deaths.
"Hey, how's your 401k doing?"
were infected with little awareness of the issue and no social distancing.
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Although the thing tends to attack the more highly concentrated clusters so it would depend on the part of the country. In highly populated situations sure.