Menu
UHND.com - Notre Dame Football, Basketball, & Recruiting UHND.com - Notre Dame Football, Basketball, & Recruiting

UHND.com - Notre Dame Football, Basketball, & Recruiting

UHND.com - Notre Dame Football, Basketball, & Recruiting UHND.com - Notre Dame Football, Basketball, & Recruiting
  • Football
    • 2024 Notre Dame Football Schedule
    • 2024 Notre Dame Roster
    • 2024 Notre Dame Coaching Staff
    • Injury News & Updates
    • Notre Dame Football Depth Charts
    • Notre Dame Point Spreads & Betting Odds
    • Notre Dame Transfers
    • NFL Fighting Irish
    • Game Archive
    • Player Archive
    • Past Seasons & Results
  • Recruiting
    • Commits
    • News & Rumors
    • Class of 2018 Commit List
    • Class of 2019 Commit List
    • Class of 2020 Commit List
    • Class of 2021 Commit List
    • Archives
  • History
    • Notre Dame Bowl History
    • Notre Dame NFL Draft History
    • Notre Dame Football ESPN GameDay History
    • Notre Dame Heisman Trophy Winners
    • Notre Dame Football National Championships
    • Notre Dame Football Rivalries
    • Notre Dame Stadium
    • Touchdown Jesus
  • Basketball
  • Forums
    • Chat Room
    • Football Forum
    • Open Forum
    • Basketball Board
    • Ticket Exchange
  • Videos
    • Notre Dame Basketball Highlights
    • Notre Dame Football Highlights
    • Notre Dame Football Recruiting Highlights
    • Notre Dame Player Highlights
    • Hype Videos
  • Latest News
  • Gear
  • About
    • Advertise With Us
    • Contact Us
    • Our RSS Feeds
    • Community Rules
    • Privacy Policy
  • RSS
  • YouTube
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
Home > Forums > The Open Forum
Login | Register
Upvote this post.
0
Downvote this post.

Now this I take with a grain of salt, but if even close to true, very scary. (Headliner on Drudge)

Author: Frank L (64677 Posts - Joined: Sep 20, 2007)

Posted at 12:58 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

This is with keeping restrictions in place.

Paris (AFP) - COVID-19 could lead to more than 80,000 deaths in the US and overwhelm hospital capacity nationally as soon as early April even if social distancing measures are respected, new research showed Thursday.

The US death toll for the pandemic has already soared past 1,000, with 68,000 confirmed infections.

Forecasters at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington's School of Medicine analysed the latest COVID-19 data at a local, national and international level.

These include hospitalisation and mortality rates, as well as patient date in terms of age, gender and pre-existing health problems.

Specifically, they looked at the time lag between the first fatal cases and public interventions such as shuttering schools and businesses.

They then looked at each American state's ICU bed and ventilator capacity.

The analysis warned that based on current trends, demand for both would far exceed capacity for COVID-19 patients as early as the second week of April.

During the epidemic peak -- also set for some point in April -- as many as 2,300 patients could die every day, according to the IHME models.

This was the case even if the population adhered to strict social distancing measures.

"Our estimated trajectory of COVID-19 deaths assumes continued and uninterrupted vigilance by the general public, hospital workers, and government agencies," said Christopher Murray, IHME director.

"The trajectory of the pandemic will change -- and dramatically for the worse -- if people ease up on social distancing or relax with other precautions."

The analysis estimated that approximately 81,000 people in the US will die from the virus over the coming four months.

Estimates ranged between 38,000 and more than 160,000.

It forecast that a total of 41 US states will need more ICU beds than are currently available and that 12 states may need to increase their capacity by 50 percent or more to accommodate patient needs.

The economic shutdown triggered by the coronavirus pandemic caused an unprecedented 3.3 million people to file for unemployment benefits last week alone.

"We hope these forecasts will help leaders of medical systems figure out innovative ways to deliver high-quality care to those who will need their services in the coming weeks," said Murray.


This message has been edited 1 time(s).

Replies to: Now this I take with a grain of salt, but if even close to true, very scary. (Headliner on Drudge)


Thread Level: 2

Drudge has devolved to political National Inquirer status. Unless it bleed... it does not lead.

Author: Curly1918 (16447 Posts - Joined: Aug 30, 2017)

Posted at 5:43 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

Not too many links there to the NYT or the WP, much less any respectable less "progressive" media outlets.

Thread Level: 2

80k death? We had 61k deaths in 17-18 flu season. None of you on this thread even gave a damn then.

Author: Eli (9555 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 1:43 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Link: https://forum.uhnd.com/forum/index.php?action=display&forumid=2&msgid=463882

Thread Level: 3

There's a vaccine for the flu.

Author: AlbanyIRISH (25812 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 3:17 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Kind of reminds me of when Rocket Ismail played for Notre Dame
Invincibility with no vulnerability
Thread Level: 4

Which obviously worked real well

Author: WoodstockIrish (14683 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 5:28 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Thread Level: 5

Less than half of American's get a flu shot annually.

Author: AlbanyIRISH (25812 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 8:01 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

I'm guessing that number will balloon next autumn.

Kind of reminds me of when Rocket Ismail played for Notre Dame
Invincibility with no vulnerability
Thread Level: 4

Thay may or may not work at all

Author: Fisher01 (6461 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 3:46 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Thread Level: 5

It works perfectly. They just have to guess at the strains each year so it isn’t a perfect match.

Author: Frank L (64677 Posts - Joined: Sep 20, 2007)

Posted at 3:47 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

A large percentage also don’t get the shot.

This message has been edited 1 time(s).

Thread Level: 3

Find a soul.

Author: conorlarkin (21011 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 2:51 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Link: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/26/opinion/coronavirus-elderly-vulnerable-religion.html

The American Dream belongs to all of us. — Kamala Harris
Thread Level: 4

Conor since you have some free time a book you might want to read is "Younger Next Year"

Author: Irish 64 (2762 Posts - Joined: Nov 2, 2018)

Posted at 3:06 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

by Chris Crowley. The premise is through exercise the body can be convinced it is not aging. Most of us as we near retirement think we should slow down. If instead of slowing down we pick up the pace the body adapts, the result being a younger you. One of the best books I have ever read.

This message has been edited 2 time(s).

Thread Level: 5

Thanks 64. Will put it in my queue.

Author: conorlarkin (21011 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 6:58 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

I feel like a 40 year old — and do my best to stay reasonably fit despite working long hours.

Age is a relative concept.


This message has been edited 1 time(s).

The American Dream belongs to all of us. — Kamala Harris
Thread Level: 4

He was a PLA soldier who believes the protesters caused the deaths in Tienamen Square.

Author: Frank L (64677 Posts - Joined: Sep 20, 2007)

Posted at 2:53 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

Few lower forms of life populate the planet.

Thread Level: 5

...all 300 of them.

Author: TakethetrainKnute (33495 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 4:17 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Thread Level: 6

Were there that many?

Author: Frank L (64677 Posts - Joined: Sep 20, 2007)

Posted at 4:24 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Thread Level: 7

I think Eli admits 160, or maybe less, all from self-inflicted wounds...

Author: TakethetrainKnute (33495 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 4:38 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Thread Level: 8

While Eli isn't proud of what he did there (whatever that may have been) he also doesn’t regret it.

Author: Frank L (64677 Posts - Joined: Sep 20, 2007)

Posted at 11:31 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Thread Level: 3

Get real.

Author: conorlarkin (21011 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 2:50 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Link: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/26/opinion/doctors-coronavirus-safety.html

The American Dream belongs to all of us. — Kamala Harris
Thread Level: 3

80K in the next 4 months... consensus estimate is 250K by the end of the year.

Author: ND_in_DRO (3958 Posts - Joined: Nov 1, 2016)

Posted at 2:08 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Link: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/experts-say-the-coronavirus-outlook-has-worsened-but-the-trajectory-is-still-unclear/

Thread Level: 3

About the only accurate thing you have said. Wasn’t around then. Did kill an uncle as a child.

Author: Frank L (64677 Posts - Joined: Sep 20, 2007)

Posted at 1:45 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Thread Level: 2

Two options: Listen to Trump or listen to the experts --

Author: conorlarkin (21011 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 1:30 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Link: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/25/opinion/coronavirus-trump-reopen-america.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage

The American Dream belongs to all of us. — Kamala Harris
Thread Level: 3

We also need to discuss the two premises at the heart of this thing.

Author: Frank L (64677 Posts - Joined: Sep 20, 2007)

Posted at 1:37 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

Will the economy completely crater into a depression if we maintain the social distancing?

Will the economy rebound quickly in the event that there is a continuing upward curve in infection and death? In other words is 80K or more potential deaths acceptable to find out?


This message has been edited 2 time(s).

Thread Level: 4

Of course. Play with the sliding bar in the link.

Author: conorlarkin (21011 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 1:51 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

The American Dream belongs to all of us. — Kamala Harris
Thread Level: 2

Pretty surprising and powerful stock rally happening.

Author: Iggle (12616 Posts - Joined: Sep 14, 2007)

Posted at 1:17 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

Maybe it's all reaction to the trillions being thrown at the economy. Or maybe someone is following Matt Levine's formula for becoming a zillionaire:

1) Discover treatment for Corona
2) Buy the shit out of the market
3) Announce your treatment for Corona


Thread Level: 3

I say Chinese are buying them. It's too cheap and most Americans are too scared to think, thank MSM.

Author: Eli (9555 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 1:49 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Thread Level: 4

You talk out yer ass every post.

Author: Frank L (64677 Posts - Joined: Sep 20, 2007)

Posted at 2:04 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

(no message)

Thread Level: 3

I’ll take it. Stimulus plus fundamentals still good. I think the economy will bounce back well.

Author: Frank L (64677 Posts - Joined: Sep 20, 2007)

Posted at 1:21 pm on Mar 26, 2020
View Single

The societal impacts of this though, who knows.

This message has been edited 1 time(s).

Close
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • YouTube
  • RSS