It is also causes only a fraction of the deaths of the major killers... and yet we pay them no serious heed... even though those deaths are easily as horrific. We are rubber necking a relatively minor accident and putting ourselves in danger of killing off the economy that makes our lives so much better.
Link: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm
mitigation, caused the bulk of its damage in less than 2 months.
If the death toll had been much higher without mitigation, what would that have done to the economy?
Stupid cannot be fixed.
at beginning. We're caught off guard. But, unlike traffic accident death for which people can't develop its immunity no matter how many die from traffic accident, or unlike heart attack death for which people can't develop immunity either, people can develop immunity against Covid -19 virus attack once they pass its 1st wave attack. Covid-19 death doesn't have same consistency as traffic death or heart attack death does.
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Should we reconsider fat shaming?
Link: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1448478/
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...and that assumes full social distancing.
Not sure where you get 10th.
So we're now at 60K? You were recently at 246,000 dead. How badly must an expert's forecast miss to lose the title 'expert'?
Link: Experts!
If we were to stop social distancing immediately the 246k would be the likely number of deaths.
It seems your experts come with lots of footnotes.
Or maybe they’re just fucking clueless, as evidenced by their models that have been dramatically overstating deaths since day one.
That’s not a static number.
Not saying his analysis has any merit at all
a very widespread transmission, 50-85-fold more than the number of current confirmed cases. Their result can be "used to calibrate epidemic and mortality projections. "
Link: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1
Many more died from other causes and the actual infection rates are probably much higher.
Link: https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/detroit/2020/04/17/map-coronavirus-covid-19-cases-zip-code/5156859002/
And now there are almost ten times that number in the US.
You seemed to have had the good grace to step away from the keyboard for a while when proven to be so horrifically wrong about everything. Maybe you should reconsider the timing of your reemergence into the medical prediction field?
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#1, I’ll wager.
With reasonable social distancing and attention to personal hygiene we will probably keep it out of the top 10 this year and then it will vanish.
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I believe there are valid opposing thoughts on opening the economy, but don't believe your comparison holds true. Or perhaps a different question, at what number of projected deaths should we have taken action?
The US economy will be just fine. Act like you've seen a recession before.
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