Polls mean a lot less than what people are willing to put their money on.
Link: https://money.cnn.com/data/markets/
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...per some reports...
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Link: https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/2139235/photographs-of-naked-trump-getting-a-spray-tan-in-the-white-house-show-how-the-donalds-first-day-could-go-down/