If asymptomatic people can’t transmit this thing, we can open a helluva lot faster.
Link: https://thehill.com/homenews/coronavirus-report/501696-who-official-asymptomatic-spread-of-coronavirus-very-rare?amp
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I can’t stand these kind of statistical studies that estimate what would have been because they are not proveable and they depend so much on trusting the researchers themselves. From what I understand of the the study model (I’m from medicine, not economics), I didn’t see anything that seems glaringly wrong, it if you have more expertise, I’d be interested to hear your thoughts.
I do know that the question being answered isn’t the right one however. It should be prevented deaths not prevented infections (which are inevitable), and they should be compared to the same evaluation of the deaths from shutdown.
They also javent published this yet, but released it early by their own admission which means that Nature can retract it later without damaging its reputation which makes me suspicious in light of previous events. And why release it early - are they in the business of marketing or science?
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You’re killing me.
Not my area, but I looked at it, and it seemed properly applied as best as I can tell.
I would consider 3 things.....
1) Given the political nature of this topic these days, I would want more specifics on their specific data sources.
2) A similar study on the effects of shut down would be interesting to pair with this for overall consideration.
3) while the spread has been slowed successfully, it will nonetheless reach virtually everyone eventually, so the real estimate to look at is lives saved ( high risk people who avoided exposure and got vaccine who would have otherwise died ) rather than simply prevented infections.
When that much smaller cohort is compared to deaths from the shut down consequences, I strongly suspect the cure will be found to be much worse than the disease ever was.
Interesting study. Thanks for posting it.
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approach. We need to protect elderly and weak people. herd immunity in essence is the group of 70%-80% healthy people protect the group of 20%-30% weak people.
You just don't get it no matter how many posts you make.
Link: https://forum.uhnd.com/forum/index.php?action=display&forumid=2&msgid=574975
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If you had been listened to many more would have died.
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Link: https://twitter.com/RyanRhodes/status/1270155672194351104?s=09
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So far we are hearing the spread from surface contamination is unlikely, now this. Yet the virus moved very quick.
We have it on the medical authority of one BaronVon UHND poster masks didn’t and don’t help stop the spread. Keeping a social distance doesn’t help contain and stop the spread either.
There has to be a reason for its potency.
Not sure of the practical difference between asymptomatic and pre.
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PS: you not once have said anything that would indicate you’re a man of medicine, in fact quite the opposite.
Road crew clean up maybe but not anywhere in the medical field.
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Light on the starch please. I know how you like to bloviate.
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in their continuous attack on Trump, shutdowns aren't as important anymore (they think) - not you Chris, but the powers that be.
Faulty estimates, intentionaly suppression of evalauation of simple treatment, doesn't transmit from surfaces as thought, now hard to get from asymptomatic people. If you don't think they meant to do this, then you are left with the conclusion that they are completely incompetent in which case, why listen to the "experts" when they are not?
It doesn't seem to spread via the asymptomatic, and surface-touching spread is pretty rare, per the C.D.C.
We are past the point that we should be moving forward.
You are very unlikely to get it walking by someone, unlike the measles. You have to be in an infected person’s proximity for a while.
We ought to be able to open smartly. And indoor mask rules, like in Japan (and New Orleans), would help.
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....then we all would just have to trust that symptomatic people would wear them.
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First of all, I've heard differently from sources I trust. Secondly, I've always believed surface contamination helps explain how it got so out of control in nursing homes. Hope I'm wrong though.
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Good for you.
Hope it is but we have been playing catch up the whole time trying to figure what this thing is or isn’t