First China hid the problem with the help of the WHO
Than the travel embargoes went up to protests
This will be no worse than the flu
Masks don’t help
Social distancing and closing the country followed
Strange models and cures
Various health organizations and researchers saying two different things
No ventilators, PPE, testing, etc
Cases now rising but deaths still stable
Most of the deaths in two states NY and NJ. Why?
Now they have found a steroid that helps those most critical.
No one knows shit.
They now have the lowest RT numbers.
Link: https://rt.live/
I'm not sure your "NY/NJ is what the whole country would look like without the shutdowns" meant though.
But I think we are on same boat in that the coronavirus' actual ability to spread (measured by R) is what we know should look at. The daily count of reported cases is not reliable anyway due to reporting system, especially the weekend cases very likely have 1 week delay.
Due to the fact that people live on top of one another. The lower RT number means either a degree of herd immunity or effective control measures or a combination of the 2.
If the policy/measure changes, then R number will change, and then time for virus infection to reach to saturation will change too. As a result, the equilibrium of the herd immunity will change too.
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