The vulnerable population would have already died of other causes... and kids would be seen as totally immune. This is the cost of progress?
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The Asian Flu hit in 1958, and the equivalent of 220,000 Americans today died. The Hong Kong Flu hit in 1969, killing the equivalent of almost 200,000, and in both pandemics we did nothing.
Seems people back then were more realistic, realizing this is just nature happening. Today, panic, fear and misinformation rule the day, lest we appear "insensitive."
If we had reacted well, we’d have far fewer dead.
Not complicated.
So back in 1960 when life expectancy was under 70, a majority of these folks would have already succumbed to other causes. Moreover, to paraphrase Bill Clinton, it all depends of what your definition of "involving" is. And yes, there is extra compensation to medical institutions for deaths "involving" COVID, Plus, the death rate plummets even more precipitously for those under 60 AND about half of all deaths occurred in east coast nursing homes because of those states governors incredibly horrific decision making. In retrospect, we panicked! Or should I say our Boomer leaders panicked to prolong their own sorry reign in power.
Link: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm
How would we have achieved this? Solely by the president wearing a mask? Or something else?
And not rushing the reopening - and instead rushing testing, the biggest screw up - might have kept it contained.
Instead, the virus beat us.
he or she would get the blame. the states are free. and yet it was up to the states.
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Hundreds of millions of responsible Americans took steps to mitigate the spread. For half a year now.
Trump hicks might not have, but still, without those actions the death toll would have been much higher. Into the millions, without doubt.
Early estimates I saw were 2-3 million - the numbers trump uses on the stump three times a day now, by the way.
Using the CDC's published fatality rates, if herd immunity is achieved at 70% of the population being infected, that translates to 609,000 dead when this is all said and done. I'm not saying that's good, but it's not millions, unless you're talking worldwide
Herd immunity does not mean that the epidemic ends, by the way. It just slows down.
But 70% would mean about 220 million people get it. Fatality rate was higher early on. Around 1%.
That’s 2.2 million dead, and tens of millions more with little-understood, long-term covid damage.
Infection fatality rates for ages:
0-19: .003%
20-49: .02%
50-69: .5%
70+: 5.4%
Looked up the number of deaths in each age group, did some simple math. Easy. IFR is not 1%, even when you factor the 70+ crowd in.
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