Looking at Rankings - If - Big if - ND wins out.
Oregon, Georgia, Ohio State - stay in front of ND unless something crazy were to happen.
After that:
Texas - probably wins out (maybe Texas AM - that'd be nice) - and stays ahead of ND
Miami - probably stays ahead of ND - the only game left is Clemson - and stays ahead of ND
Penn State - could still lose 2 - definately to Ohio State and one other - would drop them behind (Just OSU loss keeps them ahead)
Clemson - gets Louisville this weekend and still has Miami - another loss drops them behind
Tennesee - gets Georgia and loss drops them behind ND
LSU - Gets Texas AM and Alabama - should drop one of them - drops them behind ND
Iowa State - isnt that good - they'll drop one - drops them behind ND
BYU - isn't that good - they'll drop one - drops them behind ND
I still think if ND wins out ("IF"), then ND finishes 8th at worst and gets a home game (maybe as high as 6th), and I am not counting any crazy upsets - which there will be.
They've alreadey climbed from 18 after NIU to 11/12 - they'll climb another 4 - 6 with 5 more wins.
Replies to: Looking at Rankings - If - Big if - ND wins out.
Are you presuming we go ahead of 2 loss teams from SEC and Big 10?
I wouldn't count on it...we jump over teams who actually have to play a tough schedule? Hmmmm?
College football playoff rankings start on Tuesday, Nov. 5
We will get a much better idea by Nov. 5th where we are likely to wind up if we win out.
I don't think we have a chance at the 5 or 6 seed, but..
I'd give us better than 50% of getting 7 or 8 seed if we win out.
You are correct - 5 seed will go to whoever finishes 2nd in the SEC and the 6th seed 2nd from Big10
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IMO, biggest threat to us is unbeaten teams taking first L in conference championship games.
Say Miami takes first loss to Clemson in ACC Championship..they're both in now.
Oregon takes first loss in B1G Championship.
BYU or ISU takes first loss in Big 12 Championship.
Georgia runs it from here and takes 2nd loss to Texas or A&M in SEC Championship.
You'd likely be looking at the first 8 seeds being taken by the same teams that played in the Conference Championship games...add in a G5 champion and that leaves 3 spots for everyone else to crumb snatch over.