10-2
Later this year if ND wins out and goes 10-2 then that record and our independence should not be a basis to keep us out of the CFP. Last year 4 teams with 2 losses got in and at least one wasn’t in a conference title game and lost its last game of the regular season.
Replies to: 10-2
Re: 10-2
By my analysis, as of today, there’s a 3-5% chance of enough “elite” teams sitting at 10-2 or better ending up ranked ahead of Notre Dame to keep them out. This includes unlikely scenarios where a three loss team makes it in and wins a conference championship (for example a 9-3 Georgia losing to GT but beating Alabama in the rematch while edging out a pair of other 6-2 sec teams via tie-breakers)
A lot of those scenarios will be ruled out next week.
It’s FAR more likely they get left out as a result of stumbling at Pitt, (or Navy, Stanford or heaven forbid BC).
Based on matchups over the coming weeks, if ND wins out it would not be crazy to see them in the top
6 or higher just based on all the matchups. A lot of football left and a lot of losses to teams ranked higher than us that play other ranked teams. ND likely can't be left out due to this if they just win out.