What are the odds we play in Norman the first playoff game ?
Its in my back yard so that has me excited. I would like our chances a lot. I don't think they could score on our defense. We would score enough on them. It seems lined up now. The only thing is I believe there will be a lot of crying we are in the top 12. Would not be shocked we get moved down just to spite us.
Replies to: What are the odds we play in Norman the first playoff game ?
I am sure there will be upsets in the final 2 weeks of the season leading to excitement. I expect...
the IRISH to be higher than #9 in the final BCS rankings and WILL HOST a playoff game...LFG ND
Re: What are the odds we play in Norman the first playoff game ?
Nominally they are equal to the _inverse_ (-ed I initially made a double-negative error) odds of Miami, BYU, or Alabama moving ahead of us with no one falling behind us.
Those teams pass us if:
-BYU beats TT in the rematch by a close margin.
-Miami embarrasses Pitt or wins by as much as we did while we beat Stanford by less than they did.
-Alabama beats Auburn==they are in the sec championship; Win or lose close and they pass us
And if all three happen then we go to the pop tarts bowl….
(Yes, Miami will pass us if they beat Pitt big—with recency bias they’ll be credited with a “better” performance against common opponents which, when added to head-to-head will be enough to overcome “worse losses”)
Note: The odds are in the noise, but there are some edge cases like LSU upsets OK, Texas beats A&M and GT beats Georgia or BYU loses to UCF or ACC chaos puts Miami in the ACC championship.
I sort of feel like ND will get moved down out of spite
That being said I don't care if we are 12 as long as we get in. I think we have a real chance to win the whole thing.
IMHO we'll get slotted in the hardest path, regardless of ranking.
SO, they might give us a home game, but well end up playing Bama, Georgia, OSU, then NC. That's a lot of physicality to survive.
You're probably right.
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Highly unlikely IMO we stay at 8/9 as is
I’m sure there will be surprises shake ups upsets you name it to make things change. I’m hoping we move up to Top eight so we can host a game.
I’d love to host Texas Tech
Because of their coaches bitch ass mouth
Maybe..
MSU over #6 Ole Miss?
GT over #4 UGA?
UW over # 7 Oregon?
Re: Highly unlikely IMO we stay at 8/9 as is
I sort of feel like ND will get moved down out of spite -
It won't be out of spite. The committee has shown love for ND so far
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If we are below 10 we are out sooo....
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