Trump’s base will follow him to hell ‘n back. The flipside is that the same % of voters seek a one way ticket for Trump to Hell.
I cannot think of any candidate for President in US history who draws such a stark contrast of die hard supporters vs die hard despisers.
Trump can never effectively govern because almost half the nation is embarrassed and ashamed that Donald Trump could be the President of the United States. Yet, our democracy determines who serves in the Oval Office.
This will be an extremely close electoral count election, as was 2020. Biden will win the popular vote. But, that’s not necessarily enough to win the Electoral College.
I have posted before that I still do not see Biden picking up enough Nikki Haley Republicans and independents to cover what he is losing in 3rd party voters and young voters who do not turn out or vote for Trump. The big Latino shift towards Republicans is also a huge metric.
So, it it’s close, I believe Trump will be elected.
Biden’s problem is that he does not generate energy.
But, we are in May. 6 months is a ton of runway in politics.