I still think it's 50/50 that he will make to November. Even with a part-time president, the toll is

large. And that's on presidents with stamina and solid health. Now throw in a campaign. Yes, they can keep him in the basement to an extent, but he will still have to be out and about more so than in a non-election year. I think he will fall asleep some afternoon in the near future and never wake up.