Likely Voters as election day approaches (see the AI summary below, which you can double check yourself by visiting their website.)...so they are fully aware of the implications, and their commentary reflects that.
If you want to bet the farm that Independents really favor Trump...be my guest.
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AI Overview
Yes, the Quinnipiac University Poll uses likely voter models, particularly as elections approach. While they often poll registered voters, they switch to likely voter models closer to Election Day, using screening questions about past voting behavior, interest in the campaign, and intention to vote to determine their sample.Key Details on Quinnipiac's Approach:Likely Voter Focus: As election days approach, Quinnipiac emphasizes results from likely voters.Methodology: The poll uses random digit dialing (RDD) to reach both landlines and cell phones, with live interviewers, according to their methodology.Sample Weighting: Results are weighted using U.S. Census data based on age, gender, education, race, and region.Transparency: Quinnipiac is a charter member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) Transparency Initiative.For in-depth, up-to-date analysis of their methodology and recent polls, you can visit the Quinnipiac University Poll website.