It's called based on null hypothesis. Well, accurately say majority of business as usual, more accurately say at least 80% business should remain as usual. The data from Diamond Princess already told us 80% of her 3,500 people are immune to covid-19, 20% got infected (but 80% of the infected are either have mild symptom or no mild symptom). The rough picture is clear to me, detailed and accurate picture is still not clear though.
BTW, Drug testing is a clinical trial thing (e.g. double blind), it is not a modeling thing
Replies to: "Fine. 1. Just don't call your decision scientific. 2. We already had a decision -business as usual"
- Inaccurate Virus Models Are Panicking Officials Into Ill-Advised Lockdowns [NT]
[LINK]
- Eli - 10:44am 3/26/20
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- “Madeline Osburn is a staff editor at the Federalist and the producer of The Federalist Radio Hour” - Chris94 - 12:15pm 3/26/20
- Not interested in the views of mouthpieces on either side. Just want to hear it from the Docs and - Frank L - 1:28pm 3/26/20
- Believe it or not, data scientists, engineers, epidemiologists, and public health officials - ND_in_DRO - 11:02am 3/26/20
- I stopped reading at the phrase “Wuhan Virus”. Obviously a political piece. [NT] - Frank L - 11:51am 3/26/20
- The Imperial College model is not peer-reviewed. [NT]
- Eli - 11:03am 3/26/20
- You have peer-reviewed data that contradicts it? [NT]
- ND_in_DRO - 11:22am 3/26/20
- This is NOT contest. But I won't make policy decision based on un-peer-reviewed, unverified model. [NT]
- Eli - 11:28am 3/26/20
- This pandemic won't wait for a peer-review Eli - ND_in_DRO - 11:47am 3/26/20
- Fine. 1. Just don't call your decision scientific. 2. We already had a decision -business as usual - Eli - 12:24pm 3/26/20
- This pandemic won't wait for a peer-review Eli - ND_in_DRO - 11:47am 3/26/20
- This is NOT contest. But I won't make policy decision based on un-peer-reviewed, unverified model. [NT]
- Eli - 11:28am 3/26/20
- You have peer-reviewed data that contradicts it? [NT]
- ND_in_DRO - 11:22am 3/26/20
- Easily countered with a few Donald lies. "We're doing so great". "We're in great shape". "Because [LINK] - Irish 64 - 10:49am 3/26/20
- “Madeline Osburn is a staff editor at the Federalist and the producer of The Federalist Radio Hour” - Chris94 - 12:15pm 3/26/20