Why would we not uphold Article 5?
Granted, we ("Biden's America, as conor would describe it) ignored our obligations to Ukraine, and allowed Russia to attack them without a military response. But, I would think that we would defend NATO.
I would guess that Russia would try to boil the frog, though...drop a missile "accidentally" into Poland, repeat elsewhere...if someone like Biden were in charge, maybe perform a "minor incursion" (Biden's phrase in his authorization to Putin) in Moldova or Georgia...and see where things go from there.
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Evil preaches tolerance until it is dominant, then it tries to silence good.