FWIW, ESPN has ND at >99%.

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FWIW, ESPN has ND at >99%.

Author: TakethetrainKnute (34527 Posts - Original UHND Member)

Posted at 10:26 am on Nov 26, 2018

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But only 10% to win it all...

Link: ESPN's College Football Playoff Predictor

Replies to: "FWIW, ESPN has ND at >99%."

Is ND really a lock for the playoffs? - iairishcheeks - 10:06am 11/26/18 (46) [View All]
- Yes - Rocket91 - 11:46am 11/26/18
- IS it possible for UCF to get in - lets say - jimbasil - 11:17am 11/26/18
  - If Bama loses this weekend they would not be #1 even with the other losses. [NT] - THEISMANCARR - 11:39am 11/26/18
    - Okay, that's if you believe in the Committee. - jimbasil - 2:11pm 11/26/18
- YES.....FOR SURE [NT] - joeconnell - 10:58am 11/26/18
- Not sure those percentages matter. - jimbasil - 10:43am 11/26/18
  - They gave up 39 points to Michigan. That said it will be 1 Alabama, 2 Clemson 3 ND 4 OSU or - THEISMANCARR - 11:42am 11/26/18
    - But OSU’s D is trending right: the 39 to UM was way less than the 51 they gave up to MD. [NT] - Napoleon - 12:09pm 11/26/18
      - Yeah, the whole guessing thing is sort of inane, but fun. I really have no belief the committee - jimbasil - 1:27pm 11/26/18
  - Moving to 4 could happen. Complete shut out, nope. [NT] - Frank L - 10:50am 11/26/18
    - Not shut out. I think they do move ND to #4 if Bama and OSU win. - jimbasil - 11:00am 11/26/18
      - If Georgia beats Alabama there is no way Alabama is ranked ahead of Georgia. So you - THEISMANCARR - 11:43am 11/26/18
        If Bama and Clemson win, the only question is who gets the #4 spot behind ND. - Napoleon - 11:53am 11/26/18
        This is the likely scenario. [NT] - Frank L - 12:01pm 11/26/18
        Yep. [NT] - jimbasil - 2:01pm 11/26/18
      - Possible. [NT] - Frank L - 11:09am 11/26/18
        . [NT] - Frank L - 11:10am 11/26/18
        
        I'm in the paranoid column when it comes to the selection committee. heh [NT] - jimbasil - 11:10am 11/26/18
- Yes. OK will not go over ND. I will give you 2-1 odds against the Irish if you want the bet. - Frank L - 10:25am 11/26/18
- Towards the end of the USC game...Herbie said that ND was a lock to get in. - SanJoseCAFan - 10:24am 11/26/18
- Take Xanax with a Wild Turkey back you will be fine and just wait for Santa to come [NT] - PBHangingChad - 10:19am 11/26/18
  - Will it also numb special teams anxiety? [NT] - iairishcheeks - 10:20am 11/26/18
    - You didn't take my bait, two blocked punts for TD's. Sure now I hear from you, more practice!!! [NT] - PBHangingChad - 10:22am 11/26/18
      - ND up to #58 in ST efficiency. - iairishcheeks - 10:27am 11/26/18
        Fine my friend but you know if there is a ST play that decides Clemson or Bama, you're fucked [NT] - PBHangingChad - 10:29am 11/26/18
        The deciding play is still far more likely to come on offense or defense. [NT] - iairishcheeks - 10:35am 11/26/18
        It’s simple, really. ND should put 100% of time, focus, and resources on . . . - Napoleon - 3:53pm 11/26/18
        
        We will see, but a blocked punt with an ND score, well? [NT] - PBHangingChad - 10:54am 11/26/18
        A slightly better block springs Dexter? - iairishcheeks - 11:09am 11/26/18
        Haha OK [NT] - PBHangingChad - 11:27am 11/26/18
- In fivethirtyeight’s model, Hillary is president. [NT] - Napoleon - 10:19am 11/26/18
- Wow! [NT] - NDmelvin - 10:16am 11/26/18
- Remember that OK and tOSU’s ADs recuse themselves on votes related to their teams [NT] - Shadow_of_the_Dome - 10:14am 11/26/18
  - And OSU AD, Gene Smith, is a former Irish starting WR [NT] - Frankbuz - 11:42am 11/26/18
  - They still get to vote against ND and it's naive to think they have no influence. [NT] - iairishcheeks - 10:16am 11/26/18
- ND is in 99% [NT] - OklahomaIrishman - 10:12am 11/26/18
  - Per your model? [NT] - iairishcheeks - 10:16am 11/26/18
    - No ESPN [NT] - OklahomaIrishman - 11:28am 11/26/18
    - FWIW, ESPN has ND at >99%. [LINK] - TakethetrainKnute - 10:26am 11/26/18
      - Michigan with higher odds than UCF? [NT] - iairishcheeks - 10:36am 11/26/18
        I would rank both at zero. [NT] - Frank L - 10:40am 11/26/18
        UCF has a path, Michigan does not. [NT] - iairishcheeks - 10:41am 11/26/18
        What is their realistic path? [NT] - Frank L - 10:49am 11/26/18
        OU and OSU lose next weekend. [NT] - iairishcheeks - 11:06am 11/26/18
        Still zero chance. - Frank L - 11:11am 11/26/18
      - Those look about right. [NT] - Frank L - 10:31am 11/26/18

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