being studied. (Nature.com did a nice article about this process. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01738-2) There are educated guesses hovering around .5 to 1 percent about the IFR, but thankfully it should continue to decrease as doctors and scientists learn more about how to treat it. But keeping the IFR low is dependent on having enough beds and medical staff to treat the seriously ill. In two weeks, the hospital my wife works at, Desert Regional Medical Center, has 99% capacity of ICU beds as of yesterday. (This article depicts the situation in Riverside County where my wife's hospital is located.
https://nbcpalmsprings.com/2020/06/29/shortage-of-icu-beds-reported-in-riverside-county/
They can still add more ICU beds by designating other portions of the hospital as Covid areas. But there isn't enough staff to watch all the beds.
There is one thing for certain. If seriously ill individuals are not able to be admitted for treatment and there are insufficient medical personal to administer said treatment, the IFR will increase.
I may not change your mind about the virus, but what my wife is experiencing is happening all over the country. Which takes us back to why Europe has been able to open back up and we have not. We have a selfish culture that is more concerned about the individual than the well being of our neighbor.
I wish you the best WestCoastIrish. We don't always agree, but I respect you. I hope everyone on this board avoids this virus and stays healthy. We shall see if people are willing to start taking small steps, like wearing a mask to ensure that happens.
Take some time to read the articles. I put them in there because I summarized parts. It gives you a chance to independently read the same articles.