Re: From what we've seen, your 2nd paragraph is a reach. Of course, a lot will depend on the offense
Buchner has plenty of arm strength. I've never read anything to the contrary. He may not have a cannon but, few do (and it's not needed).
This article has some decent insights.
Link: https://www.18stripes.com/unraveling-the-mystery-of-tyler-buchners-passing-ability/#
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I don't believe illusions because too much is for real.