there is an age old, proven time and again adage, "take the points". The number of times a team skips a field goal in Q1 and it comes back to bite them is quite high.
That is true that it does not guarantee you a win, and yes the game could turn out differently. However, upon review of critical game changing plays. The ones you *should* learn from for future reference. This is FAR AND AWAY the easiest to correct and the most critical at keeping you from a successful outcome in this case; a win.