Our percentage of making it if we win out are 60ish so that makes sense.

ndphysics 5036 posts Joined: Sep 17, 2016

Posted 12:37 pm on Oct 22, 2024

We don’t have complete control here. Some combinations of who wins and who loses are going to dictate the final tally.

We really need some of those teams u list to lose prior to conference title games. The more fringe teams there are the worse our ifds I think.

This message has been edited 1 time(s).

Replies 30

Our percentage of making it if we win out are 60ish so that makes sense. ndphysics 12:37pm · 10/22/24
- LOL you really, seriously, honestly, not just fucking with us..think at 11-1 we have a 60% chance? Chrisb 8:37pm · 10/22/24
- Where are you seeing that? ESPN FPI has 11-1 ND 99% chance to make playoffs Link Turkish 12:51pm · 10/22/24
  - 11-1 Notre Dame will always be in. 10-2 with this schedule and I think we are definitely out.NT tky21 8:55pm · 10/22/24
  - ND beat 1 current ranked Power opponent, (A&M). Wins over ranked Army / Navy won't mean squat.NT SteveM 1:01pm · 10/22/24
    - Are you going to admit you're wrong when 11-1 ND makes playoff? Turkish 1:06pm · 10/22/24
      - No, I surely hope we make the playoffs. My questions weren't rhetorical... SteveM 1:46pm · 10/22/24
        
        No calculator can account for all the variables a committee will consider. ndphysics 1:50pm · 10/22/24
        
        Your questions aren't rhetorical, they dismiss 25+ years of history and data Turkish 2:46pm · 10/22/24
        
        Which team above us has a weaker schedule let alone teamsNT WoodstockIrish 8:05am · 10/23/24
        
        Penn St, Clemson, Iowa St, BYU Turkish 8:24am · 10/23/24
        
        All have played teams in the top 10, have 2-3 ranked opponents WoodstockIrish 10:10am · 10/23/24
        Continue 9 replies
        
        Your rational and fact-based arguments are not appreciated around here, pal Nigel Tufnel 5:05pm · 10/22/24
        
        A 1-loss SEC or Big 10 team who then loses 2nd game in the conference championship WoodstockIrish 12:45pm · 10/23/24
        
        So what? It's a 12 team playoffNT Turkish 1:40pm · 10/23/24
  - That link shows 56%NT ndphysics 12:54pm · 10/22/24
    - 56% to make playoffs TODAY. Not 56% to make playoffs as 1-loss in a month Turkish 1:04pm · 10/22/24
      - Ok. I missed that part. Will see. It seems hard to believe it’s that high given ndphysics 1:48pm · 10/22/24
        
        Twists are inevitable, and will almost exclusively benefit ND Turkish 2:47pm · 10/22/24

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