There are several scenarios where we get screwed. But there will be 2 loss teams ahead of us because of SOS.
And obviously we need to win out. Looking more plausible but with this team not guaranteed though Leonard looks much, much better. He actually waited in the pocket and rifled passes downfield. WTF has that been or was it because Navy got zero pressure on him.
I agree with the oddsmakers. Slightly better than 50% chance.