If Texas turns blue, it's good night for the GOP for quite some time
I am still a skeptic - especially for 2020 - but there is a very rapid change going on in Texas. First, the educated people in the suburbs are turned off by Trump. And second, Latinos - 40-45% of whom were reliable GOP voters in the Bush era - are apparently not happy about being called "invaders." I guess the GOP strategists just did not see that coming.
If this were to happen, and if it turned out to be sustainable, there would be no more GOP presidents in our lifetime. Might just be anti-Trump momentum...but the young people of Texas appear to be like young people everywhere - they are turning against the GOP in enormous numbers. Four GOP House members are retiring, which is certainly due to what their internal polling is telling them.
Lots of numbers here: https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/08/politics/could-texas-go-blue-2020/index.html
Link: https://www.politico.com/story/2019/08/12/texas-republicans-2020-elections-1456161
Replies to: If Texas turns blue, it's good night for the GOP for quite some time
One party rule (by either party) would be devastating to The Republic.
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Agreed. The GOP would probably still hold the senate, even if Texas turns blue.
And all things are cyclical, even if it takes the GOP a long time to recover from Trump.
That would effectively dissolve the border between Texas and Mexico.
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Just keep nominating an old white retard or a corrupt white crook, even a yellow TX won't help you.
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You mean like the one we have in office right now? He’s both.
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Much of your perspective is incorrect. Most
Assimilated Hispanics become republicans. Any shift in voters really has to do with people moving into Texas from more liberal states. I do agree liberals have more influence in texas, but I question if that will continue when their liberal policies start “messing with Texas.”
Not just his perspective. Some conservatives are already talking about it.
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Looking self in mirror is good. Liberals never do. HCR got worst white vote in last 3 decades at 37%
D just keep losing white votes in presidential elections. This is a trend too. Since white will still be majority for at least 25 years, that means in next 25 year losing 1% white votes while gaining 1% minority votes, you still end up at a net loss of votes.
the risk of so willingly allowing the federal government to dominate what really should be left to
the states.
Federal elections "really should be left to the states"? Thanks, Gov. Wallace.
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I'm not saying that, at all. The federal goverment has grown at the expense of state's rights, and
there are risks to both sides when that happens.
Not in 2020. But 2024 and after, distinct possibility.
The D’s problem is that many Hispanics are culturally conservative. The lib squad turns them off.
Correct on 2020, because we sure as hell know Hispanics won't turn out for Biden
or a Massachusetts liberal, or whoever else you're going to put up.
Biden is up 8 points in Texas
If he wins the nomination, Texas will be a swing state.
I would put little faith in polls at this point...
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Maybe, but I'd put even less faith in Cole's "gut feeling"
To each his own, as they say.
Blasphemer!
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Agree, but it isn’t a sure thing either way.
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Trump would be foolish to take any state for granted.
Sure, he has to prioritize.
I don't see why he isn't making a bigger play for African-Americans. I would think that they see that they are hurt by illegal immigration. He should be setting up meetings with urban leaders, and launching some sort of Dem-like initiative.
Absolutely true.
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Then you should nominate him.
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I don't actually nominate people.
Too bad, though.
Is that the royal “we”.
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No. You're means you're.
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“ we sure as hell know” Again is that the royal we or who are you speaking for?
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"We" means anyone one with an objective brain.
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That’s my point. It leaves you out of the mix.
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So you think Hispanics will be excited about Biden. More great judgment from you.
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Now it’s excited? Thought it was turn out for. Who knows at this point, cept for the moronic “we’s”
in yer post who are so sure.
Won't turn out for Biden is the same as not being excited to vote for him. You know the point is
right so in true chucklesmog form you debate semantics.
No it isn’t. They may turn out for him because of Orange, not excitement. What % of Orange voters
turned out for him because of Hills? Think they were excited by him?
You really are a dummy.
"Not it isn't" and I'm the dummy.
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Yes you are...... Bob Barr.
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Do you think you can put Hispanic voters on the Democratic plantation with black voters?
You Dems are the biggest racists of all.
Link: https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2019/02/24/2020-hispanic-voters-donald-trump-225192
and thus the Left's shifted stance to unfettered immigration but did you see that MN is in play?
Thanks Omar.
TX will hold - esp since hispanics don't stay in Dem control.
But if MN slips to trump...he wins. And he only lost by 2 points or so in 2016 before Omar's alienating behavior.
Right except illegal immigrants don't vote so this is idiotic.
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and thus your opposition to voter ID and illegal immigration "amnesty"
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Where there is no iron clad system of voter ID no one really knows who votes
which is what the Democrats count on. They demand expanded background checks on honest law abiding citizens who want to exercise their Second Amendment rights, but call any attempt to do even voter ID, much less background checks on prospective voters “voter suppression”.
The real shift is in the suburbs, Baron, among the educated
Turns out that Trump cannot win unless the stupids turn out in large numbers.
Once you understand that, so many of his actions and so much of his rhetoric become more understandable.
Educated? I think you mean “indoctrinated” since kindergarten by left wing “progressive” teachers
William Ayers and Bernardine Dohrn have won.
Facts is facts. Trump relies on the nation's dumbasses.
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Biden: "we choose truth over facts."
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The Left needs to feel smarter than their opposition, so they tell themselves these things.
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Uh huh. Like 2016. "It's the economy, stupid"
I've read the left wing sites and those specific polls. Don't buy it for a second.
None of us are going to say we like Trump publicly since the left has made such a point of shaming and acting out.